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Oct 31

California Crop Yield Benchmark: Combining Satellite Image, Climate, Evapotranspiration, and Soil Data Layers for County-Level Yield Forecasting of Over 70 Crops

California is a global leader in agricultural production, contributing 12.5% of the United States total output and ranking as the fifth-largest food and cotton supplier in the world. Despite the availability of extensive historical yield data from the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service, accurate and timely crop yield forecasting remains a challenge due to the complex interplay of environmental, climatic, and soil-related factors. In this study, we introduce a comprehensive crop yield benchmark dataset covering over 70 crops across all California counties from 2008 to 2022. The benchmark integrates diverse data sources, including Landsat satellite imagery, daily climate records, monthly evapotranspiration, and high-resolution soil properties. To effectively learn from these heterogeneous inputs, we develop a multi-modal deep learning model tailored for county-level, crop-specific yield forecasting. The model employs stratified feature extraction and a timeseries encoder to capture spatial and temporal dynamics during the growing season. Static inputs such as soil characteristics and crop identity inform long-term variability. Our approach achieves an overall R2 score of 0.76 across all crops of unseen test dataset, highlighting strong predictive performance across California diverse agricultural regions. This benchmark and modeling framework offer a valuable foundation for advancing agricultural forecasting, climate adaptation, and precision farming. The full dataset and codebase are publicly available at our GitHub repository.

  • 3 authors
·
Jun 11

Design, Integration, and Field Evaluation of a Robotic Blossom Thinning System for Tree Fruit Crops

The US apple industry relies heavily on semi-skilled manual labor force for essential field operations such as training, pruning, blossom and green fruit thinning, and harvesting. Blossom thinning is one of the crucial crop load management practices to achieve desired crop load, fruit quality, and return bloom. While several techniques such as chemical, and mechanical thinning are available for large-scale blossom thinning such approaches often yield unpredictable thinning results and may cause damage the canopy, spurs, and leaf tissue. Hence, growers still depend on laborious, labor intensive and expensive manual hand blossom thinning for desired thinning outcomes. This research presents a robotic solution for blossom thinning in apple orchards using a computer vision system with artificial intelligence, a six degrees of freedom robotic manipulator, and an electrically actuated miniature end-effector for robotic blossom thinning. The integrated robotic system was evaluated in a commercial apple orchard which showed promising results for targeted and selective blossom thinning. Two thinning approaches, center and boundary thinning, were investigated to evaluate the system ability to remove varying proportion of flowers from apple flower clusters. During boundary thinning the end effector was actuated around the cluster boundary while center thinning involved end-effector actuation only at the cluster centroid for a fixed duration of 2 seconds. The boundary thinning approach thinned 67.2% of flowers from the targeted clusters with a cycle time of 9.0 seconds per cluster, whereas center thinning approach thinned 59.4% of flowers with a cycle time of 7.2 seconds per cluster. When commercially adopted, the proposed system could help address problems faced by apple growers with current hand, chemical, and mechanical blossom thinning approaches.

  • 3 authors
·
Apr 10, 2023