Spaces:
Sleeping
Sleeping
Durand D'souza
commited on
Improved loading and added extra chart to show more of the cashflow
Browse files
model.py
CHANGED
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@@ -265,7 +265,7 @@ def calculate_lcoe(
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"""The LCOE is the breakeven tariff that makes the project NPV zero"""
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# Define the objective function
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objective_function = partial(calculate_cashflow_for_renewable_project, assumptions)
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-
if iter_count >
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raise ValueError(
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f"LCOE could not be calculated due to iteration limit (tariff guess: {LCOE_guess})"
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)
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@@ -274,10 +274,10 @@ def calculate_lcoe(
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lcoe = fsolve(objective_function, LCOE_guess)[0] + 0.0001
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except ValueError as e:
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# Set LCOE lower so that fsolve can find a solution
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-
LCOE_guess =
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lcoe = calculate_lcoe(assumptions, LCOE_guess, iter_count=iter_count + 1)
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except AssertionError as e:
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# LCOE is too low
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-
LCOE_guess +=
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lcoe = calculate_lcoe(assumptions, LCOE_guess, iter_count=iter_count + 1)
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return lcoe
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"""The LCOE is the breakeven tariff that makes the project NPV zero"""
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# Define the objective function
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objective_function = partial(calculate_cashflow_for_renewable_project, assumptions)
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+
if iter_count > 5000:
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raise ValueError(
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f"LCOE could not be calculated due to iteration limit (tariff guess: {LCOE_guess})"
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)
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lcoe = fsolve(objective_function, LCOE_guess)[0] + 0.0001
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except ValueError as e:
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# Set LCOE lower so that fsolve can find a solution
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+
LCOE_guess = 1
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lcoe = calculate_lcoe(assumptions, LCOE_guess, iter_count=iter_count + 1)
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except AssertionError as e:
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# LCOE is too low
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+
LCOE_guess += 5
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lcoe = calculate_lcoe(assumptions, LCOE_guess, iter_count=iter_count + 1)
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return lcoe
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ui.py
CHANGED
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@@ -5,11 +5,147 @@ from typing import Annotated, Dict, List, Tuple
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from urllib.parse import urlencode
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import plotly.express as px
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import plotly.graph_objects as go
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from schema import SolarPVAssumptions
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from model import calculate_cashflow_for_renewable_project, calculate_lcoe
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-
def
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capacity_mw,
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capacity_factor,
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capital_expenditure_per_kw,
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@@ -23,7 +159,9 @@ def process_inputs(
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dcsr,
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financing_mode,
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request: gr.Request,
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-
) -> Tuple[
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try:
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# Convert inputs to SolarPVAssumptions model using named parameters
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assumptions = SolarPVAssumptions(
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@@ -61,34 +199,19 @@ def process_inputs(
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return (
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{
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"lcoe": lcoe,
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"api_call": f"{request.request.url.scheme}://{request.request.url.netloc}/solarpv/?{urlencode(assumptions.model_dump())}",
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},
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-
(
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-
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-
cashflow_model.assign(
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**{
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"Debt Outstanding EoP": lambda x: x[
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"Debt_Outstanding_EoP_mn"
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]
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* 1000
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}
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),
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x="Period",
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y="Debt Outstanding EoP",
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)
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.add_trace(
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go.Scatter(
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x=cashflow_model["Period"], y=cashflow_model["EBITDA_mn"] * 1000,
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name="EBITDA",
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),
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-
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-
)
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.update_layout(xaxis_title="Year")
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-
),
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adjusted_assumptions.debt_pct_of_capital_cost,
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adjusted_assumptions.equity_pct_of_capital_cost,
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adjusted_assumptions.dcsr,
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styled_model,
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)
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except Exception as e:
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@@ -112,7 +235,9 @@ def get_params(request: gr.Request) -> Dict:
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project_lifetime_years: params.project_lifetime_years,
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degradation_rate: params.degradation_rate,
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dcsr: params.dcsr,
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-
financing_mode:
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}
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@@ -154,66 +279,82 @@ with gr.Blocks(theme="citrus", title="Renewable LCOE API") as interface:
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with gr.Row():
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with gr.Column(scale=8):
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gr.Markdown("# Solar PV Project Cashflow Model [API](/docs)")
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with gr.Column(scale=1):
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submit_btn = gr.Button("Calculate", variant="primary")
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share_url = gr.Button(
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icon="share.svg",
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value="Share assumptions",
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-
size="sm",
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variant="secondary",
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)
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with gr.Row():
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with gr.Column():
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with gr.Row():
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-
capacity_mw = gr.Slider(
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minimum=1,
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maximum=1000,
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step=10,
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label="Capacity (MW)",
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)
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-
capacity_factor = gr.Slider(
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label="Capacity factor (%)",
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minimum=0,
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maximum=0.6,
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step=0.01,
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)
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-
project_lifetime_years = gr.Slider(
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label="Project Lifetime (years)",
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minimum=5,
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maximum=50,
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step=1,
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)
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-
degradation_rate = gr.Slider(
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label="Degradation Rate (%)",
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minimum=0,
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maximum=0.05,
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step=0.005,
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)
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with gr.Row():
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-
capital_expenditure_per_kw = gr.Slider(
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label="Capital expenditure ($/kW)",
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minimum=1e2,
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maximum=1e3,
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step=10,
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)
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-
o_m_cost_pct_of_capital_cost = gr.Slider(
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label="O&M as % of total cost (%)",
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minimum=0,
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maximum=0.5,
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step=0.01,
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)
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with gr.Row():
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-
cost_of_debt = gr.Slider(
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-
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)
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-
cost_of_equity = gr.Slider(
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label="Cost of Equity (%)",
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minimum=0,
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maximum=0.5,
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step=0.01,
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)
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-
tax_rate = gr.Slider(
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-
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)
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with gr.Row():
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with gr.Row():
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@@ -249,7 +390,10 @@ with gr.Blocks(theme="citrus", title="Renewable LCOE API") as interface:
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with gr.Column():
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json_output = gr.JSON()
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-
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with gr.Row():
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model_output = gr.Matrix(headers=None, max_height=800)
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@@ -269,60 +413,44 @@ with gr.Blocks(theme="citrus", title="Renewable LCOE API") as interface:
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financing_mode,
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]
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-
#
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-
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-
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-
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-
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-
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-
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-
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-
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-
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-
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-
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-
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-
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-
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-
fn=process_inputs,
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-
inputs=input_components,
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-
outputs=[
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-
json_output,
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-
line_chart,
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-
debt_pct_of_capital_cost,
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-
equity_pct_of_capital_cost,
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-
dcsr,
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-
model_output,
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-
],
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)
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-
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json_output.change(
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fn=get_share_url,
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-
inputs=
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-
capacity_mw,
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-
capacity_factor,
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| 305 |
-
capital_expenditure_per_kw,
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-
o_m_cost_pct_of_capital_cost,
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| 307 |
-
debt_pct_of_capital_cost,
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-
cost_of_debt,
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-
cost_of_equity,
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-
tax_rate,
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-
project_lifetime_years,
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-
degradation_rate,
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-
dcsr,
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-
financing_mode,
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-
],
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outputs=share_url,
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| 317 |
trigger_mode="always_last",
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)
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| 319 |
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| 320 |
-
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| 321 |
-
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-
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-
process_inputs,
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inputs=input_components,
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-
outputs=[
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)
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def toggle_financing_inputs(choice):
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@@ -330,13 +458,11 @@ with gr.Blocks(theme="citrus", title="Renewable LCOE API") as interface:
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| 330 |
return {
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| 331 |
dcsr: gr.update(interactive=True),
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| 332 |
debt_pct_of_capital_cost: gr.update(interactive=False),
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| 333 |
-
equity_pct_of_capital_cost: gr.update(),
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| 334 |
}
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| 335 |
else:
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| 336 |
return {
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| 337 |
dcsr: gr.update(interactive=False),
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| 338 |
debt_pct_of_capital_cost: gr.update(interactive=True),
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| 339 |
-
equity_pct_of_capital_cost: gr.update(),
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| 340 |
}
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| 342 |
financing_mode.change(
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@@ -350,5 +476,5 @@ with gr.Blocks(theme="citrus", title="Renewable LCOE API") as interface:
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fn=update_equity_from_debt,
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| 351 |
inputs=[debt_pct_of_capital_cost],
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outputs=[equity_pct_of_capital_cost],
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| 353 |
-
trigger_mode="always_last"
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)
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| 5 |
from urllib.parse import urlencode
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| 6 |
import plotly.express as px
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| 7 |
import plotly.graph_objects as go
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| 8 |
+
import plotly.io as pio
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| 9 |
+
pio.templates.default = "plotly_dark"
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| 10 |
+
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| 11 |
+
from plotly.subplots import make_subplots
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| 12 |
from schema import SolarPVAssumptions
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| 13 |
from model import calculate_cashflow_for_renewable_project, calculate_lcoe
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| 14 |
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| 15 |
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| 16 |
+
def plot_cashflow(cashflow_model: pd.DataFrame) -> gr.Plot:
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| 17 |
+
return (
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| 18 |
+
px.bar(
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| 19 |
+
cashflow_model.assign(
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| 20 |
+
**{
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| 21 |
+
"Debt Outstanding EoP": lambda x: x["Debt_Outstanding_EoP_mn"]
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| 22 |
+
* 1000
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| 23 |
+
}
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| 24 |
+
),
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| 25 |
+
x="Period",
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| 26 |
+
y="Debt Outstanding EoP",
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| 27 |
+
)
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| 28 |
+
.add_trace(
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| 29 |
+
go.Scatter(
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| 30 |
+
x=cashflow_model["Period"],
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| 31 |
+
y=cashflow_model["EBITDA_mn"] * 1000,
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| 32 |
+
name="EBITDA",
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| 33 |
+
),
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| 34 |
+
)
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| 35 |
+
.update_layout(
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| 36 |
+
xaxis_title="Year",
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| 37 |
+
# Legend at top of chart
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| 38 |
+
legend=dict(
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| 39 |
+
orientation="h",
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| 40 |
+
yanchor="bottom",
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| 41 |
+
y=1.02,
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| 42 |
+
# xanchor="right",
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| 43 |
+
),
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| 44 |
+
margin=dict(l=50, r=50, t=100, b=50),
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+
)
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| 46 |
+
)
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| 47 |
+
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| 48 |
+
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| 49 |
+
def plot_revenues_costs(cashflow_model: pd.DataFrame) -> gr.Plot:
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| 50 |
+
# Convert the model to a pandas dataframe
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| 51 |
+
df = cashflow_model
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| 52 |
+
# Negate the Total_Operating_Costs_mn values
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| 53 |
+
df["Total Operating Costs"] = -df["Total_Operating_Costs_mn"] * 1000
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| 54 |
+
df["Total Revenues"] = df["Total_Revenues_mn"] * 1000
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| 55 |
+
df["Target Debt Service"] = df["Target_Debt_Service_mn"] * 1000
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| 56 |
+
df["DCSR"] = df["CFADS_mn"] / df["Target_Debt_Service_mn"]
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| 57 |
+
# Round the values to 4 decimal places
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| 58 |
+
df["DCSR"] = df["DCSR"].round(4)
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| 59 |
+
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| 60 |
+
# Create a new dataframe with the required columns
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| 61 |
+
plot_df = df[
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| 62 |
+
[
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| 63 |
+
"Period",
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| 64 |
+
"Total Revenues",
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| 65 |
+
"Total Operating Costs",
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| 66 |
+
"Target Debt Service",
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| 67 |
+
]
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| 68 |
+
]
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| 69 |
+
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| 70 |
+
# Melt the dataframe to have a long format suitable for plotly express
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| 71 |
+
plot_df = plot_df.melt(
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| 72 |
+
id_vars="Period",
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| 73 |
+
value_vars=[
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| 74 |
+
"Total Revenues",
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| 75 |
+
"Total Operating Costs",
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| 76 |
+
"Target Debt Service",
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| 77 |
+
],
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| 78 |
+
var_name="Type",
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| 79 |
+
value_name="Amount",
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| 80 |
+
)
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| 81 |
+
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| 82 |
+
# Create a subplots figure to handle multiple axes
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| 83 |
+
subfig = make_subplots(specs=[[{"secondary_y": True}]])
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| 84 |
+
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| 85 |
+
# Plot the bar chart
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| 86 |
+
fig = px.bar(
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| 87 |
+
plot_df,
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| 88 |
+
x="Period",
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| 89 |
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y="Amount",
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| 90 |
+
color="Type",
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| 91 |
+
barmode="overlay",
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| 92 |
+
title="Total Revenues and Total Operating Costs",
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| 93 |
+
)
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| 94 |
+
subfig.add_trace(fig.data[0], secondary_y=False)
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| 95 |
+
subfig.add_trace(fig.data[1], secondary_y=False)
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| 96 |
+
subfig.add_trace(fig.data[2], secondary_y=False)
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| 97 |
+
# Add line trace for EBITDA
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| 98 |
+
subfig.add_trace(
|
| 99 |
+
go.Scatter(
|
| 100 |
+
x=df["Period"],
|
| 101 |
+
y=df["EBITDA_mn"] * 1000,
|
| 102 |
+
mode="lines+markers",
|
| 103 |
+
name="EBITDA",
|
| 104 |
+
line=dict(color="green"),
|
| 105 |
+
)
|
| 106 |
+
)
|
| 107 |
+
# Add line trace for post-tax net-equity cashflow
|
| 108 |
+
subfig.add_trace(
|
| 109 |
+
go.Scatter(
|
| 110 |
+
x=df["Period"],
|
| 111 |
+
y=df["Post_Tax_Net_Equity_Cashflow_mn"] * 1000,
|
| 112 |
+
mode="lines+markers",
|
| 113 |
+
name="Post-Tax Net Equity Cashflow",
|
| 114 |
+
line=dict(color="red"),
|
| 115 |
+
)
|
| 116 |
+
)
|
| 117 |
+
|
| 118 |
+
# Add the DCSR line
|
| 119 |
+
subfig.add_trace(
|
| 120 |
+
go.Scatter(
|
| 121 |
+
x=df["Period"],
|
| 122 |
+
y=df["DCSR"],
|
| 123 |
+
mode="lines+markers",
|
| 124 |
+
name="DCSR",
|
| 125 |
+
line=dict(color="purple"),
|
| 126 |
+
),
|
| 127 |
+
secondary_y=True,
|
| 128 |
+
)
|
| 129 |
+
|
| 130 |
+
subfig.update_layout(
|
| 131 |
+
# Legend at top of chart
|
| 132 |
+
legend=dict(
|
| 133 |
+
orientation="h",
|
| 134 |
+
yanchor="bottom",
|
| 135 |
+
y=1.02,
|
| 136 |
+
# xanchor="right",
|
| 137 |
+
),
|
| 138 |
+
margin=dict(l=50, r=50, t=130, b=50),
|
| 139 |
+
barmode="overlay",
|
| 140 |
+
title="Total Revenues, Total Operating Costs, and DCSR",
|
| 141 |
+
xaxis_title="Year",
|
| 142 |
+
yaxis_title="Amount",
|
| 143 |
+
yaxis2_title="DCSR",
|
| 144 |
+
)
|
| 145 |
+
return subfig
|
| 146 |
+
|
| 147 |
+
|
| 148 |
+
def trigger_lcoe(
|
| 149 |
capacity_mw,
|
| 150 |
capacity_factor,
|
| 151 |
capital_expenditure_per_kw,
|
|
|
|
| 159 |
dcsr,
|
| 160 |
financing_mode,
|
| 161 |
request: gr.Request,
|
| 162 |
+
) -> Tuple[
|
| 163 |
+
Dict, gr.Plot, gr.Plot, gr.Slider, gr.Number, gr.Slider, gr.Matrix, gr.Markdown
|
| 164 |
+
]:
|
| 165 |
try:
|
| 166 |
# Convert inputs to SolarPVAssumptions model using named parameters
|
| 167 |
assumptions = SolarPVAssumptions(
|
|
|
|
| 199 |
return (
|
| 200 |
{
|
| 201 |
"lcoe": lcoe,
|
| 202 |
+
"post_tax_equity_irr": post_tax_equity_irr,
|
| 203 |
+
"debt_service_coverage_ratio": dcsr,
|
| 204 |
+
"debt_pct_of_capital_cost": adjusted_assumptions.debt_pct_of_capital_cost,
|
| 205 |
+
"equity_pct_of_capital_cost": adjusted_assumptions.debt_pct_of_capital_cost,
|
| 206 |
"api_call": f"{request.request.url.scheme}://{request.request.url.netloc}/solarpv/?{urlencode(assumptions.model_dump())}",
|
| 207 |
},
|
| 208 |
+
plot_cashflow(cashflow_model),
|
| 209 |
+
plot_revenues_costs(cashflow_model),
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 210 |
adjusted_assumptions.debt_pct_of_capital_cost,
|
| 211 |
adjusted_assumptions.equity_pct_of_capital_cost,
|
| 212 |
adjusted_assumptions.dcsr,
|
| 213 |
styled_model,
|
| 214 |
+
gr.Markdown(f"## LCOE: {lcoe:,.2f}"),
|
| 215 |
)
|
| 216 |
|
| 217 |
except Exception as e:
|
|
|
|
| 235 |
project_lifetime_years: params.project_lifetime_years,
|
| 236 |
degradation_rate: params.degradation_rate,
|
| 237 |
dcsr: params.dcsr,
|
| 238 |
+
financing_mode: (
|
| 239 |
+
"Target DSCR" if params.targetting_dcsr else "Manual Debt/Equity Split"
|
| 240 |
+
),
|
| 241 |
}
|
| 242 |
|
| 243 |
|
|
|
|
| 279 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 280 |
with gr.Column(scale=8):
|
| 281 |
gr.Markdown("# Solar PV Project Cashflow Model [API](/docs)")
|
| 282 |
+
lcoe_result = gr.Markdown("## LCOE: 0.00")
|
| 283 |
with gr.Column(scale=1):
|
| 284 |
submit_btn = gr.Button("Calculate", variant="primary")
|
| 285 |
+
with gr.Column(scale=1):
|
| 286 |
share_url = gr.Button(
|
| 287 |
icon="share.svg",
|
| 288 |
value="Share assumptions",
|
|
|
|
| 289 |
variant="secondary",
|
| 290 |
)
|
| 291 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 292 |
with gr.Column():
|
| 293 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 294 |
+
capacity_mw = gr.Slider(
|
| 295 |
+
value=30,
|
| 296 |
minimum=1,
|
| 297 |
maximum=1000,
|
| 298 |
step=10,
|
| 299 |
label="Capacity (MW)",
|
| 300 |
)
|
| 301 |
+
capacity_factor = gr.Slider(
|
| 302 |
+
value=0.1,
|
| 303 |
label="Capacity factor (%)",
|
| 304 |
minimum=0,
|
| 305 |
maximum=0.6,
|
| 306 |
step=0.01,
|
| 307 |
)
|
| 308 |
+
project_lifetime_years = gr.Slider(
|
| 309 |
+
value=25,
|
| 310 |
label="Project Lifetime (years)",
|
| 311 |
minimum=5,
|
| 312 |
maximum=50,
|
| 313 |
step=1,
|
| 314 |
)
|
| 315 |
+
degradation_rate = gr.Slider(
|
| 316 |
+
value=0.005,
|
| 317 |
label="Degradation Rate (%)",
|
| 318 |
minimum=0,
|
| 319 |
maximum=0.05,
|
| 320 |
step=0.005,
|
| 321 |
)
|
| 322 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 323 |
+
capital_expenditure_per_kw = gr.Slider(
|
| 324 |
+
value=670,
|
| 325 |
label="Capital expenditure ($/kW)",
|
| 326 |
minimum=1e2,
|
| 327 |
maximum=1e3,
|
| 328 |
step=10,
|
| 329 |
)
|
| 330 |
+
o_m_cost_pct_of_capital_cost = gr.Slider(
|
| 331 |
+
value=0.02,
|
| 332 |
label="O&M as % of total cost (%)",
|
| 333 |
minimum=0,
|
| 334 |
maximum=0.5,
|
| 335 |
step=0.01,
|
| 336 |
)
|
| 337 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 338 |
+
cost_of_debt = gr.Slider(
|
| 339 |
+
value=0.05,
|
| 340 |
+
label="Cost of Debt (%)",
|
| 341 |
+
minimum=0,
|
| 342 |
+
maximum=0.5,
|
| 343 |
+
step=0.01,
|
| 344 |
)
|
| 345 |
+
cost_of_equity = gr.Slider(
|
| 346 |
+
value=0.10,
|
| 347 |
label="Cost of Equity (%)",
|
| 348 |
minimum=0,
|
| 349 |
maximum=0.5,
|
| 350 |
step=0.01,
|
| 351 |
)
|
| 352 |
+
tax_rate = gr.Slider(
|
| 353 |
+
value=0.3,
|
| 354 |
+
label="Corporate Tax Rate (%)",
|
| 355 |
+
minimum=0,
|
| 356 |
+
maximum=0.5,
|
| 357 |
+
step=0.01,
|
| 358 |
)
|
| 359 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 360 |
with gr.Row():
|
|
|
|
| 390 |
|
| 391 |
with gr.Column():
|
| 392 |
json_output = gr.JSON()
|
| 393 |
+
with gr.Tab("Revenues and Costs"):
|
| 394 |
+
revenue_cost_chart = gr.Plot()
|
| 395 |
+
with gr.Tab("Debt cashflow"):
|
| 396 |
+
cashflow_bar_chart = gr.Plot()
|
| 397 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 398 |
model_output = gr.Matrix(headers=None, max_height=800)
|
| 399 |
|
|
|
|
| 413 |
financing_mode,
|
| 414 |
]
|
| 415 |
|
| 416 |
+
# Trigger calculation with submit button
|
| 417 |
+
gr.on(
|
| 418 |
+
triggers=[submit_btn.click],
|
| 419 |
+
fn=trigger_lcoe,
|
| 420 |
+
inputs=input_components,
|
| 421 |
+
outputs=[
|
| 422 |
+
json_output,
|
| 423 |
+
cashflow_bar_chart,
|
| 424 |
+
revenue_cost_chart,
|
| 425 |
+
debt_pct_of_capital_cost,
|
| 426 |
+
equity_pct_of_capital_cost,
|
| 427 |
+
dcsr,
|
| 428 |
+
model_output,
|
| 429 |
+
lcoe_result,
|
| 430 |
+
],
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 431 |
)
|
| 432 |
|
|
|
|
| 433 |
json_output.change(
|
| 434 |
fn=get_share_url,
|
| 435 |
+
inputs=input_components,
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 436 |
outputs=share_url,
|
| 437 |
trigger_mode="always_last",
|
| 438 |
)
|
| 439 |
|
| 440 |
+
# Load URL parameters into assumptions and then trigger the process_inputs function
|
| 441 |
+
interface.load(get_params, None, input_components, trigger_mode="always_last").then(
|
| 442 |
+
trigger_lcoe,
|
|
|
|
| 443 |
inputs=input_components,
|
| 444 |
+
outputs=[
|
| 445 |
+
json_output,
|
| 446 |
+
cashflow_bar_chart,
|
| 447 |
+
revenue_cost_chart,
|
| 448 |
+
debt_pct_of_capital_cost,
|
| 449 |
+
equity_pct_of_capital_cost,
|
| 450 |
+
dcsr,
|
| 451 |
+
model_output,
|
| 452 |
+
lcoe_result,
|
| 453 |
+
],
|
| 454 |
)
|
| 455 |
|
| 456 |
def toggle_financing_inputs(choice):
|
|
|
|
| 458 |
return {
|
| 459 |
dcsr: gr.update(interactive=True),
|
| 460 |
debt_pct_of_capital_cost: gr.update(interactive=False),
|
|
|
|
| 461 |
}
|
| 462 |
else:
|
| 463 |
return {
|
| 464 |
dcsr: gr.update(interactive=False),
|
| 465 |
debt_pct_of_capital_cost: gr.update(interactive=True),
|
|
|
|
| 466 |
}
|
| 467 |
|
| 468 |
financing_mode.change(
|
|
|
|
| 476 |
fn=update_equity_from_debt,
|
| 477 |
inputs=[debt_pct_of_capital_cost],
|
| 478 |
outputs=[equity_pct_of_capital_cost],
|
| 479 |
+
trigger_mode="always_last",
|
| 480 |
)
|